Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.631429 0.734399 0.846230 0.976372 1.123308 1.283711 1.471696
2025-01-05 0.454997 0.591136 0.752930 0.957875 1.208898 1.504585 1.877315
2025-01-12 0.344733 0.492650 0.682386 0.940149 1.277253 1.698803 2.260838
2025-01-19 0.272625 0.423755 0.630914 0.929617 1.342185 1.883943 2.639542
2025-01-26 0.229061 0.383413 0.607572 0.947654 1.439403 2.111736 3.084523
2025-02-02 0.194157 0.348192 0.584105 0.958887 1.523410 2.323134 3.517771
2025-02-09 0.165397 0.316707 0.560321 0.964192 1.595643 2.519287 3.938917
2025-02-16 0.145972 0.296820 0.550956 0.988645 1.695895 2.759771 4.435793
2025-02-23 0.127155 0.274422 0.533810 0.997353 1.770382 2.964466 4.889777
2025-03-02 0.105058 0.241785 0.494323 0.963541 1.772173 3.055908 5.175511
2025-03-09 0.094710 0.230023 0.489993 0.988665 1.871243 3.303499 5.713519
2025-03-16 0.084752 0.217203 0.481778 1.005358 1.956230 3.532251 6.232560
2025-03-23 0.079870 0.214781 0.493751 1.061152 2.115016 3.893930 6.989610
2025-03-30 0.069359 0.197803 0.474741 1.056780 2.167017 4.081821 7.475150
2025-04-06 0.059478 0.180229 0.451948 1.042240 2.198619 4.236012 7.911940
2025-04-13 0.051424 0.165388 0.432701 1.032187 2.236721 4.402135 8.375369
2025-04-20 0.046594 0.157897 0.428556 1.052371 2.333165 4.675273 9.034068
2025-04-27 0.041829 0.149540 0.421218 1.064802 2.414922 4.925819 9.664431
2025-05-04 0.037256 0.140688 0.411413 1.070649 2.483540 5.155413 10.267601
2025-05-11 0.034304 0.136025 0.411136 1.097409 2.595893 5.470823 11.036983
2025-05-18 0.030830 0.128908 0.403673 1.106936 2.673083 5.723822 11.704052
2025-05-25 0.025813 0.115369 0.377489 1.069956 2.649607 5.783877 12.020498
2025-06-01 0.023919 0.112115 0.378354 1.097436 2.765415 6.117279 12.855794